# House Hacking in San Mateo (94403): Delivered grade separation, a TOD two-thirds built · The Rent Hacker

> San Mateo 94403 for house hackers: The strongest catalyst pillar of the San Mateo ZIPs: delivered grade-separated Caltrain, a 1,250-unit TOD under constructio

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[Peninsula guide](/house-hacking/peninsula/) · Tier A · Rank #8 of 28

# House hacking in San Mateo (Hillsdale / Bay Meadows / Laurelwood).

The strongest catalyst pillar of the San Mateo ZIPs: delivered grade-separated Caltrain, a 1,250-unit TOD under construction, and an in-ZIP Fortune-league employer, held to A by a ~$2.0M median. The Bay Meadows condo and townhome pocket is the sub-median entry.

## What's actually happening in 94403

-   Delivered
    
    Hillsdale Caltrain rebuild plus the 25th Ave Grade Separation: $205.9M, delivered (station reopened Apr 2021, project complete Sept 2021). [Caltrain](https://www.caltrain.com/projects/caltrain-capital-program/25th-avenue-grade-separation/hillsdale-station-opening)
    
-   Under construction
    
    Bay Meadows Phase II: an 83-acre TOD with 1,250 units plus 1.25M sq ft office and parks, roughly two-thirds built. [City of San Mateo](https://www.cityofsanmateo.org/3198/25th-Avenue-Grade-Separation-Project)
    
-   Existing anchor
    
    Franklin Templeton global HQ (~12,000 employees), the San Mateo anchor employer. [Franklin Templeton](https://www.franklintempletoncareers.com/country-location/us/san-mateo)
    
-   Early entitlement
    
    Hillsdale Mall redevelopment: early entitlement, ~1,392 homes proposed (~20% of the city RHNA); speculative upside only. [City of San Mateo](https://www.cityofsanmateo.org/4856/Hillsdale-Mall-Redevelopment---Mixed-Use)
    

## The numbers

Median price

~$2.0M (Redfin, 3 months ending May 2026)

Market rent

~$3,500/mo avg, 2bd ~$3,999 (Zumper)

Property tax (San Mateo County)

1.26% combined effective average (range 1.08–1.52% by tax-rate area; purchase resets the assessed basis to sale price)

Per-bed rent band

$1,200–1,700/mo per bed

ADU rent band

$2,600–3,200/mo

Whole-home rent band

$4,300–5,200/mo whole-home

Underwriting vacancy

3–4% underwriting vacancy

Appreciation scenarios

3.0 / 4.5 / 6.0 %/yr (conservative / base / upside)

Bay Meadows condos and townhomes trade well below the SFR median; AB 1482 plus mild Nov 2025 relocation and rehab-notice ordinances. Appreciation basis: The delivered grade separation plus Bay Meadows under construction; enter via the condo pocket. Rent bands are city-level medians; confirm the specific parcel before trusting any of them. [Run your own scenario in the calculator](/calculator/).

## Buildings we underwrote in 94403

1 building in 94403 carry a record. 0 beat renting and index funds, 1 rejected; the rest did not. Every row links to its own page, with the numbers it was scored on.

Property

At our defaults

Status

[2277-2283 S El Camino Real](/property/rh-ywy5tt/2277-2283-s-el-camino-real/) 4 units · $2,200,000

— no verdict on file

Rejected — our own check (2026-09-03) confirms a MIXED-USE RETAIL building of 7 units, three ground-floor commercial suites plus four residential units, outside the 2-4 unit non-commercial MFH scope. · Source: the seller's own LoopNet listing 41115686, Property Type Retail, Subtype Storefront Retail/Residential, matched to our verified listing record on price $2,200,000, 5,000 sqft, built 1950, C3-1/R4 zoning and two storeys. · The screening that admitted it rested on the listing's own summary fields reading 'Quadruplex, Residential Income', units 4, whose verified listing record carried no prose at all. Commercial income is absent from the model, so the earlier margin was computed on the wrong building.

The full [board](/board/) shows every region's current week; this table is every record we hold for 94403, newest basis first.

## The house-hack angle

A Bay Meadows condo or townhome as the affordable entry near the grade-separated station; SFR plus ADU on the Hillsdale, Laurelwood, and Sugarloaf tracts.

## What breaks it

-   A ~$2.0M median compresses the S&P math outside the condo pocket
-   Franklin Templeton consolidation risk on the jobs leg
-   Hillsdale Mall is early and preliminary; Sugarloaf hillside slope constrains ADU adds

This page is the standing analysis. The weekly part, actual San Mateo-area listings that pass the math, lands on the Peninsula board every Thursday.

[This week's Peninsula board](/board/sf-peninsula/)

[This week's Peninsula board](/board/sf-peninsula/) · [Read past Peninsula issues](/issues/sf-peninsula/) · [Every pick, on the record](/track-record/) · [How a deal becomes a pick](/methodology/)

Data synthesized 2026-07-05, catalysts re-verified 2026-07-16. Mortgage-rate basis: 6.43% (Freddie Mac PMMS, week of 2026-07-02). Sources are the public planning documents and market listings named above, fetched on the synthesis date. Nothing here is investment advice; every deal needs a bindable insurance quote and parcel-level verification.
