East Bay guide · Tier A · Rank #25 of 87
House hacking in Dublin (Citywide (two BART stations)).
Two in-ZIP BART stations plus the planned Valley Link terminus and a Downtown Specific Plan with up to 2,916 units and no parking minimums. Strong catalysts; the $1.39M basis limits the avatar to SFH-ADU.
What's actually happening in 94568
- Operational
Dublin/Pleasanton terminus and West Dublin: two in-ZIP BART stations. BART
- Planned, service ~2032: never underwrite it
Valley Link terminus planned: Phase 1A ~$4.4B, $400M Measure BB committed, FTA FONSI Apr 2025, service target ~2032. Valley Link
- Adopted / in review / approved
Downtown Dublin Specific Plan: up to 2,916 units, parking minimums eliminated Jan 2024; Dublin Commons (1,510 units) in review, SCS Dublin (500 units) approved June 2026. City of Dublin
- Existing anchors
Suburban job base: Ross HQ, the ZEISS $180M campus, Camp Parks. City of Dublin
The numbers
- Median price
- ~$1.39M (Dublin)
- Market rent
- 2bd $2,900 / 3bd $3,400 whole-home (underwriting band)
- Property tax (Alameda County)
- ~1.39% effective (Dublin)
- Per-bed rent band
- $1,100–1,450/mo per bed
- ADU rent band
- $2,200–2,800/mo
- Whole-home rent band
- 2bd $2,900 / 3bd $3,400 whole-home
- Underwriting vacancy
- 4% underwriting vacancy
- Appreciation scenarios
- 1.0 / 2.5 / 4.0 %/yr (conservative / base / upside)
Dublin comps printed -2.4 to -7.9% YoY: negotiable. Appreciation basis: $1.39M basis, SFH-ADU only; Valley Link counted as upside only. Rent bands are city-level medians; confirm the specific parcel before trusting any of them. Run your own scenario in the calculator.
Buildings we underwrote in 94568
4 buildings in 94568 carry a record. 0 beat renting and index funds; the rest did not. Every row links to its own page, with the numbers it was scored on.
| Property | At our defaults | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 1715 Central Pkwy 2 units · $1,102,777 | −$707,647 S&P 500 | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| 1719 Central Pkwy 2 units · $1,238,161 | −$908,939 S&P 500 | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| 1700 Margaret Way 2 units · $1,260,000 | −$984,410 S&P 500 | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| 7595 Amador Valley Blvd 2 units · $2,999,000 | −$3,223,278 S&P 500 | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
The full board shows every region's current week; this table is every record we hold for 94568, newest basis first.
The house-hack angle
SFH-with-ADU only at this basis; newer stock keeps capex low. Treat Valley Link as narrative until capital flows: the service target is ~2032.
What breaks it
- The $1.39M basis limits the avatar to SFH-ADU
- Valley Link is still-conceptual for underwriting purposes (service ~2032)
- Negative comps (-2.4 to -7.9% YoY): don't underwrite appreciation