Board · Peninsula · runs Thursdays
Peninsula, week of October 8
This board runs once a week. Peninsula runs on Thursdays; this one ran October 8.
27 buildings ran. 0 beat renting and index funds. 27 did not.
Each row is one building: the ten-year difference in dollars against renting plus index funds, at cautious numbers. Click a row for the numbers behind it.
The full board
Everything this run underwrote. No picks were published for this run — a thin week ships thin. Every row links to its own record.
| # | Property | At our defaults index-tie %/yr, then the 10-yr edge | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | 349 Spring St 94063 · 3 units · $1,798,000 · underwrite this one | 0.2%/yr to tie
−$502,540 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 324 Susie Way 94080 · 4 units · $1,795,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$493,859 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 2916 Curtis Ave 94063 · 4 units · $2,030,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$508,466 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 335 A St 94080 · 2 units · $1,150,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$719,406 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 772 Walnut St 94066 · 2 units · $999,999 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$723,776 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 991 Mills Ave 94066 · 2 units · $950,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$743,950 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 341 Dumbarton Ave 94063 · 2 units · $1,599,800 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$751,434 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1440 Valota Rd 94061 · 2 units · $1,500,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$803,740 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1815 Woodland Ave 94303 · 2 units · $1,060,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$813,759 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 48 Garibaldi St 94014 · 2 units · $1,250,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$865,965 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1557 Ebener St 94061 · 2 units · $1,575,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$913,478 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1120 Elmer St 94002 · 4 units · $1,680,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$922,649 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 3448 Page St 94063 · 2 units · $1,590,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,033,197 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 901-903 Hanover St 94014 · 2 units · $1,498,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,138,502 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 731 Hillside Blvd 94014 · 4 units · $1,640,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,139,984 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1846-1848 Woodside Rd 94061 · 2 units · $1,749,900 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,169,391 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1 Paloma Ave 94044 · 4 units · $2,495,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,189,551 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 917 Mills Ave 94066 · 3 units · $1,729,880 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,203,371 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 154-156 2nd Ave 94014 · 2 units · $1,595,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,216,217 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 332 San Jose Ave 94030 · 2 units · $1,488,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,291,352 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 823 Cedar St 94063 · 2 units · $1,495,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,314,403 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1128 Ebener St 94061 · 2 units · $2,149,999 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$1,554,930 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 4 Warren Rd 94401 · 2 units · $2,280,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$2,122,226 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 929 Alice Ln 94025 · 4 units · $3,100,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$2,615,716 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 835 Fremont St 94025 · 4 units · $2,988,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$2,645,146 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 1000O Neill St 94002 · 2 units · $2,595,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$2,687,320 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
| — | 632 1st Ln 94080 · 4 units · $2,700,000 · underwrite this one | 0%/yr to tie
−$2,797,606 S&P 500 · first-pass screen | Underwritten — the index wins at our defaults |
Margins are signed and stated at our published defaults (3.5% down, cautious rents, a ten-year hold) against investing the same money in the index. They are not a forecast, and a record page is not a recommendation: only the picks are that. A rejected row keeps its number and its reason; the reason is why the number does not count.
Earlier Peninsula runs in the store: September 24, 2026 · September 17, 2026 · September 10, 2026 · September 3, 2026. Every property from those weeks keeps its record page.
Have one building in mind? Underwrite that address for $79, delivered within one business day. Want every Peninsula winner the week it lists? Take the pass, $49/mo.
How the numbers are built: the methodology · Run your own: the calculator · One address in mind? Underwrite it for $79 →
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